Combat Edge Intelligence

Aiden Lee vs Don Shainis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Aiden Lee

Aiden Lee

15-11-0FeatherweightCWFC

1570Solid
Don Shainis
us

Don Shainis

“Shameless”

15-8-0FeatherweightCFC

1572Solid

Tale of the tape

15-11-0Record15-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'6"
75"Reach67"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fearless MMATeamCitadel Martial Arts & Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aiden LeeNow 1570
If they win+12→ 1582
If they lose-12→ 1558
Don ShainisNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.42
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.87
TBD
Strike defense
31%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.97
TBD
Takedown accuracy
25%
TBD
Takedown defense
20%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.94

Trajectory

Aiden LeeDon Shainis
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
11 (73%)
Submission
3 (20%)
2 (13%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Aiden Lee71%
Don Shainis 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aiden Lee a 71% favorite over Don Shainis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Don Shainis's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1572), separated by just 2 points.

Aiden Lee finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Don Shainis 73%.

Aiden Lee carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.