Combat Edge Intelligence

AJ Cunningham vs Anderson dos Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record25-13-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'6"
71″Reach70,0"
155 lbsWeight147 lbs
Without Limits MMATeamBabuino Gold Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

AJ CunninghamNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Anderson dos SantosNow 1587
If they win+12→ 1599
If they lose-12→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.66
Sig. strikes / min
2.70
29%
Strike accuracy
26%
11.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.37
49%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
0.98
0%
Takedown accuracy
14%
33%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

AJ CunninghamAnderson dos Santos
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
5 (20%)
4 (36%)
Submission
14 (56%)
3 (27%)
Decision
6 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

AJ Cunningham66%
Anderson dos Santos 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes AJ Cunningham a 66% favorite over Anderson dos Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1587), separated by just 3 points.

AJ Cunningham enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Anderson dos Santos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

AJ Cunningham finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Anderson dos Santos 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.