Combat Edge Intelligence

AJ Cunningham vs Gaetano Pirrello

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record16-7-1
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
71″Reach68,0"
155 lbsWeight135 lbs
Without Limits MMATeamOsman Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

AJ CunninghamNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Gaetano PirrelloNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.66
Sig. strikes / min
0.99
29%
Strike accuracy
55%
11.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.44
49%
Strike defense
43%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
33%
Takedown defense
30%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

AJ CunninghamGaetano Pirrello
16002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
11 (69%)
4 (36%)
Submission
3 (19%)
3 (27%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

AJ Cunningham57%
Gaetano Pirrello 43%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes AJ Cunningham a 57% favorite over Gaetano Pirrello in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1586), separated by just 4 points.

AJ Cunningham enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

AJ Cunningham finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Gaetano Pirrello 88%.

AJ Cunningham carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.