Combat Edge Intelligence

AJ Dobson vs Christopher Ewert

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record7-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
76"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Strong Style Fight TeamTeamTeam Predator MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

AJ DobsonNow 1598
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582
Christopher EwertNow 1597
If they win+24→ 1621
If they lose-24→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.29
Sig. strikes / min
0
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
46%
Strike defense
TBD
1.67
Takedown avg.
TBD
75%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
65%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.28
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

AJ DobsonChristopher Ewert
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
2 (29%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (29%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Christopher Ewert60%
AJ Dobson 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Christopher Ewert a 60% favorite over AJ Dobson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans AJ Dobson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1597), separated by just 1 points.

AJ Dobson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Christopher Ewert 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.