Combat Edge Intelligence

Akbarh Arreola vs Nicolas Sávio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-11-1Record13-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
71,0"Reach-
185 lbsWeight154 lbs
Entram GymTeamStrikers MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Akbarh ArreolaNow 1637
If they win+12→ 1649
If they lose-12→ 1625
Nicolas SávioNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.32
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
1.07
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
33%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.36
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Akbarh ArreolaNicolas Sávio
1550160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (19%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
20 (77%)
Submission
3 (23%)
1 (4%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Nicolas Sávio73%
Akbarh Arreola 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nicolas Sávio a 73% favorite over Akbarh Arreola in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1638), separated by just 1 points.

Akbarh Arreola enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Akbarh Arreola finishes 96% of wins inside the distance, Nicolas Sávio 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.