Combat Edge Intelligence

Akhmed Magomedov vs Kazuki Tokudome

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record20-12-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamParaestra Hachioji

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Akhmed MagomedovNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Kazuki TokudomeNow 1601
If they win+12→ 1613
If they lose-12→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.26
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.63
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2
TBD
Takedown accuracy
39%
TBD
Takedown defense
79%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Akhmed MagomedovKazuki Tokudome
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
10 (50%)
3 (30%)
Submission
3 (15%)
6 (60%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Akhmed Magomedov63%
Kazuki Tokudome 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Akhmed Magomedov a 63% favorite over Kazuki Tokudome in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kazuki Tokudome's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1601), separated by just 1 points.

Akhmed Magomedov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Akhmed Magomedov finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Kazuki Tokudome 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.