Combat Edge Intelligence

Akhmed Magomedov vs Korey Taylor

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record4-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
-ReachN/A
156 lbsWeight160 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamGracie Barra South Jax

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Akhmed MagomedovNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Korey TaylorNow 1600
If they win+24→ 1624
If they lose-24→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Akhmed MagomedovKorey Taylor
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
3 (30%)
Submission
1 (25%)
6 (60%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Akhmed Magomedov56%
Korey Taylor 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Akhmed Magomedov a 56% favorite over Korey Taylor in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1600), separated by just 0 points.

Akhmed Magomedov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Korey Taylor enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Akhmed Magomedov finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Korey Taylor 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.