Combat Edge Intelligence

Akira Corassani vs TJ Brown

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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TJ Brown
us

TJ Brown

“Downtown”

20-12-0LightweightRDC

1601Solid

Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record20-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReach72"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
Renzo Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamWestside MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Akira CorassaniNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
TJ BrownNow 1601
If they win+12→ 1613
If they lose-12→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.25
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
45%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.89
50%
Strike defense
49%
0.70
Takedown avg.
3.41
29%
Takedown accuracy
58%
87%
Takedown defense
37%
0
Submission avg.
1.31

Trajectory

Akira CorassaniTJ Brown
160016502013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
4 (20%)
3 (27%)
Submission
12 (60%)
7 (64%)
Decision
4 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

TJ Brown52%
Akira Corassani 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes TJ Brown a 52% favorite over Akira Corassani in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1601), separated by just 2 points.

Akira Corassani enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Akira Corassani finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, TJ Brown 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.