Akira Shoji vs Damian Janikowski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-17-5Record11-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height5'11"
TBDReach70"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
FreelanceTeamNemesis
What's at stake
Damian Janikowski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Akira Shoji carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1519
If they lose-11→ 1495
If they win+15→ 1536
If they lose-17→ 1504
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Akira ShojiDamian Janikowski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Damian Janikowski66%
Akira Shoji 34%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Damian Janikowski a 66% favorite over Akira Shoji in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Damian Janikowski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1506, a 15-point edge.
Akira Shoji enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Akira Shoji finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Damian Janikowski 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.