Combat Edge Intelligence

Akitoshi Tamura vs Lincoln Strong

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

21-18-2Record2-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
143 lbsWeight146 lbs
Tsudanuma DojoTeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Akitoshi TamuraNow 1524
If they win+12→ 1536
If they lose-12→ 1512
Lincoln StrongNow 1516
If they win+25→ 1541
If they lose-23→ 1493

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1473 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.73
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
78%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
20%
Takedown defense
TBD
1
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Akitoshi TamuraLincoln Strong
15001550201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
5 (24%)
Submission
1 (50%)
15 (71%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Lincoln Strong66%
Akitoshi Tamura 34%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Lincoln Strong a 66% favorite over Akitoshi Tamura in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Akitoshi Tamura's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1524 vs 1516), separated by just 8 points.

Akitoshi Tamura finishes 29% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.