Combat Edge Intelligence

Alan Baudot vs Marcos Brigagao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alan Baudot
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Alan Baudot

“Black Samourai”

8-4-0HeavyweightUFC

1561Solid

Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record17-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
79"ReachTBD
253 lbsWeight210 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamD.O METHODOLOGY

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alan BaudotNow 1561
If they win+17→ 1578
If they lose-15→ 1546
Marcos BrigagaoNow 1572
If they win+15→ 1587
If they lose-17→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.36
Sig. strikes / min
3.07
59%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
47%
Strike defense
26%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
63%
Takedown defense
36%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alan BaudotMarcos Brigagao
1550160020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (100%)
KO/TKO
12 (71%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (18%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcos Brigagao57%
Alan Baudot 43%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Brigagao a 57% favorite over Alan Baudot in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1572), separated by just 11 points.

Alan Baudot enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Marcos Brigagao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alan Baudot finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Brigagao 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.