Combat Edge Intelligence

Alan Baudot vs Marek Samociuk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alan Baudot
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Alan Baudot

“Black Samourai”

8-4-0HeavyweightUFC

1561Solid

Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record9-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
79"Reach76"
253 lbsWeight264 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamUniq Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alan BaudotNow 1561
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545
Marek SamociukNow 1551
If they win+16→ 1567
If they lose-16→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.36
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
59%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
63%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alan BaudotMarek Samociuk
150015501600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (100%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Marek Samociuk66%
Alan Baudot 34%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Marek Samociuk a 66% favorite over Alan Baudot in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alan Baudot's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1551), separated by just 10 points.

Alan Baudot enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Marek Samociuk enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alan Baudot finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marek Samociuk 44%.

Alan Baudot carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.