Alan Baudot vs Raphael Pessoa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record10-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
79"Reach78″
253 lbsWeight247 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamTop Brother MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alan BaudotRaphael Pessoa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alan Baudot52%
Raphael Pessoa 48%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Alan Baudot a 52% favorite over Raphael Pessoa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Raphael Pessoa's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1566), separated by just 5 points.
Alan Baudot enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Raphael Pessoa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Alan Baudot finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Raphael Pessoa 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.