Alan Patrick vs Austin Hubbard
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-4-0Record16-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
74"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alan PatrickAustin Hubbard
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Austin Hubbard54%
Alan Patrick 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Austin Hubbard a 54% favorite over Alan Patrick in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alan Patrick's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1619), separated by just 0 points.
Alan Patrick enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Austin Hubbard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alan Patrick finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Austin Hubbard 44%.
Alan Patrick carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.