Alan Philpott vs Alfonso Alcarez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-18-0Record1-3-1
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'3"
68"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
IMMATeamNickwan Kick Gym
What's at stake
Alan Philpott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Alfonso Alcarez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1501
If they lose-14→ 1477
If they win+27→ 1468
If they lose-21→ 1420
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alan PhilpottAlfonso Alcarez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alan Philpott78%
Alfonso Alcarez 22%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Alan Philpott a 78% favorite over Alfonso Alcarez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Alan Philpott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1491 to 1441, a 50-point edge.
Alan Philpott enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alfonso Alcarez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alan Philpott finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.