Combat Edge Intelligence

Alan Philpott vs Giovanni Fernandez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alan Philpott

Alan Philpott

“Super Ali”

21-18-0FeatherweightPFL

1491Average

Tale of the tape

21-18-0Record3-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
68"Reach-
145 lbsWeight133 lbs
IMMATeamPythagore Academy Cognac

What's at stake

Alan Philpott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Giovanni Fernandez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alan PhilpottNow 1491
If they win+10→ 1501
If they lose-14→ 1477
Giovanni FernandezNow 1426
If they win+28→ 1454
If they lose-20→ 1406

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alan PhilpottGiovanni Fernandez
145015001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (24%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
9 (43%)
Submission
2 (67%)
7 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Alan Philpott60%
Giovanni Fernandez 40%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Alan Philpott a 60% favorite over Giovanni Fernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Alan Philpott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1491 to 1426, a 65-point edge.

Alan Philpott enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Giovanni Fernandez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alan Philpott finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Giovanni Fernandez 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.