Alan Philpott vs Junior Hernandez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-18-0Record3-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"HeightTBD
68"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight170 lbs
IMMATeamSingpatong Muay Thai & MMA
What's at stake
Alan Philpott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Junior Hernandez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1502
If they lose-13→ 1478
If they win+25→ 1495
If they lose-23→ 1447
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alan PhilpottJunior Hernandez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alan Philpott62%
Junior Hernandez 38%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Alan Philpott a 62% favorite over Junior Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Alan Philpott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1491 to 1470, a 21-point edge.
Alan Philpott enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Junior Hernandez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alan Philpott finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Junior Hernandez 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.