Alan Philpott vs Ryan Bastianelli
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-18-0Record6-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'5"
68"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
IMMATeamCombat Fitness
What's at stake
Alan Philpott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Ryan Bastianelli carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1501
If they lose-14→ 1477
If they win+19→ 1454
If they lose-13→ 1422
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alan PhilpottRyan Bastianelli
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alan Philpott78%
Ryan Bastianelli 22%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Alan Philpott a 78% favorite over Ryan Bastianelli in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Alan Philpott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1491 to 1435, a 56-point edge.
Alan Philpott enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryan Bastianelli enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alan Philpott finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Bastianelli 0%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.