Alan Silva vs Maki Pitolo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-14-1Record15-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height5'9"
-Reach75"
184 lbsWeight195 lbs
Team AbacaxiTeamWest Oahu MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1554
If they lose-12→ 1530
If they win+16→ 1562
If they lose-16→ 1530
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alan SilvaMaki Pitolo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alan Silva60%
Maki Pitolo 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Alan Silva a 60% favorite over Maki Pitolo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Maki Pitolo's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1542 vs 1546), separated by just 4 points.
Alan Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Maki Pitolo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alan Silva finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Maki Pitolo 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.