Combat Edge Intelligence

Alatengheili vs Anthony Birchak

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alatengheili
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Alatengheili

“The Mongolian Knight”

17-10-2BantamweightUFC

1609Solid

Tale of the tape

17-10-2Record16-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
66"Reach69,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamLuta Elite MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

AlatengheiliNow 1609
If they win+12→ 1621
If they lose-12→ 1597
Anthony BirchakNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.64
Sig. strikes / min
3.93
33%
Strike accuracy
37%
4.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.67
58%
Strike defense
57%
1.99
Takedown avg.
0.48
45%
Takedown accuracy
14%
75%
Takedown defense
62%
0
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

AlatengheiliAnthony Birchak
160016502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (29%)
KO/TKO
5 (31%)
3 (18%)
Submission
8 (50%)
9 (53%)
Decision
3 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Alatengheili56%
Anthony Birchak 44%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Alatengheili a 56% favorite over Anthony Birchak in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1605), separated by just 4 points.

Anthony Birchak enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alatengheili finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Anthony Birchak 81%.

Alatengheili and Anthony Birchak share 1 common opponent: Gustavo Lopez.

Anthony Birchak carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDraw (unanimous) · 2021
Gustavo Lopez
LossSubmission · 2020