Combat Edge Intelligence

Alatengheili vs Kevin Natividad

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alatengheili
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Alatengheili

“The Mongolian Knight”

17-10-2BantamweightUFC

1609Solid

Tale of the tape

17-10-2Record9-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
66"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamArizona Combat Sports

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

AlatengheiliNow 1609
If they win+12→ 1621
If they lose-12→ 1597
Kevin NatividadNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.64
Sig. strikes / min
2.68
33%
Strike accuracy
34%
4.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.29
58%
Strike defense
48%
1.99
Takedown avg.
3.66
45%
Takedown accuracy
50%
75%
Takedown defense
83%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

AlatengheiliKevin Natividad
1600165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (29%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
3 (18%)
Submission
1 (11%)
9 (53%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Natividad60%
Alatengheili 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Natividad a 60% favorite over Alatengheili in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alatengheili's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1604), separated by just 5 points.

Kevin Natividad enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alatengheili finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Natividad 67%.

Alatengheili and Kevin Natividad share 1 common opponent: Batgerel Danaa.

Kevin Natividad carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2019
Batgerel Danaa
LossTKO · 2021