Combat Edge Intelligence

Albert Cheng vs Kiefer Crosbie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record10-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach70"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Evolucao ThaiTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Albert ChengNow 1568
If they win+16→ 1584
If they lose-16→ 1552
Kiefer CrosbieNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1
Sig. strikes / min
6.61
42%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.49
71%
Strike defense
51%
0
Takedown avg.
0.69
0%
Takedown accuracy
40%
0%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0.34

Trajectory

Albert ChengKiefer Crosbie
145015001550160020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
2 (33%)
Submission
2 (20%)
3 (50%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Albert Cheng52%
Kiefer Crosbie 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Albert Cheng a 52% favorite over Kiefer Crosbie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1568 vs 1567), separated by just 1 points.

Kiefer Crosbie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Albert Cheng finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Kiefer Crosbie 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.