Combat Edge Intelligence

Albert Morales vs Dean Garnett

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-9-1Record15-4-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
39,0"Reach64"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Systems Training CenterTeamTeam McHale

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Albert MoralesNow 1630
If they win+12→ 1642
If they lose-12→ 1618
Dean GarnettNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.81
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
36%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.96
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
0.91
Takedown avg.
TBD
36%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
71%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.18
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Albert MoralesDean Garnett
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
5 (33%)
Submission
6 (40%)
3 (20%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Dean Garnett62%
Albert Morales 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dean Garnett a 62% favorite over Albert Morales in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Albert Morales's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1627), separated by just 3 points.

Albert Morales enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Albert Morales finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Dean Garnett 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.