Combat Edge Intelligence

Alberto Crane vs Ayinda Octave

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-5-0Record7-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReach71"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Alberto Crane MMATeamTauras Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alberto CraneNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578
Ayinda OctaveNow 1593
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.43
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
25%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
4
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alberto CraneAyinda Octave
155016001650200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
14 (93%)
Submission
1 (14%)
1 (7%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Ayinda Octave60%
Alberto Crane 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ayinda Octave a 60% favorite over Alberto Crane in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alberto Crane's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1593), separated by just 1 points.

Alberto Crane enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Ayinda Octave enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alberto Crane finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Ayinda Octave 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.