Combat Edge Intelligence

Alberto Montes vs Antonio Carvalho

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-1-0Record15-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
69"ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA MastersTeamBruckmann Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alberto MontesNow 1629
If they win+24→ 1653
If they lose-24→ 1605
Antonio CarvalhoNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.26
Sig. strikes / min
3.03
61%
Strike accuracy
29%
4.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.62
60%
Strike defense
65%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
78%
Takedown defense
100%
6.77
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alberto MontesAntonio Carvalho
1550160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
7 (58%)
Submission
3 (20%)
4 (33%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Alberto Montes70%
Antonio Carvalho 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alberto Montes a 70% favorite over Antonio Carvalho in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1627), separated by just 2 points.

Alberto Montes enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Alberto Montes finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Antonio Carvalho 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.