Combat Edge Intelligence

Alberto Montes vs Austin Arnett

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Austin Arnett
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Austin Arnett

“The Golden Boy”

18-7-0FeatherweightFSF

1626Solid

Tale of the tape

12-1-0Record18-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height6'0"
69"Reach41,0"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA MastersTeamSikjitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alberto MontesNow 1629
If they win+24→ 1653
If they lose-24→ 1605
Austin ArnettNow 1626
If they win+12→ 1638
If they lose-12→ 1614

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.26
Sig. strikes / min
4.52
61%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.38
60%
Strike defense
62%
0
Takedown avg.
0.44
TBD
Takedown accuracy
18%
78%
Takedown defense
57%
6.77
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Alberto MontesAustin Arnett
15501600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
8 (44%)
7 (58%)
Submission
6 (33%)
4 (33%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Alberto Montes70%
Austin Arnett 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alberto Montes a 70% favorite over Austin Arnett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1626), separated by just 3 points.

Alberto Montes enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Austin Arnett enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alberto Montes finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Austin Arnett 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.