Alberto Montes vs Tom Niinimaki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-1-0Record22-8-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
69"ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA MastersTeamFinnfighters' Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1653
If they lose-24→ 1605
If they win+12→ 1638
If they lose-12→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alberto MontesTom Niinimaki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alberto Montes72%
Tom Niinimaki 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alberto Montes a 72% favorite over Tom Niinimaki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1626), separated by just 3 points.
Alberto Montes enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Alberto Montes finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tom Niinimaki 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.