Combat Edge Intelligence

Alden Coria vs Eric Shelton

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record18-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
67"Reach36,5"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
4oz. Fight ClubTeamAmerican Top Team Indianapolis

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alden CoriaNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Eric SheltonNow 1652
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.69
Sig. strikes / min
2.57
45%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.88
70%
Strike defense
64%
1.75
Takedown avg.
2.83
33%
Takedown accuracy
52%
71%
Takedown defense
46%
0
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

Alden CoriaEric Shelton
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
4 (22%)
4 (33%)
Submission
5 (28%)
3 (25%)
Decision
9 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Alden Coria71%
Eric Shelton 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alden Coria a 71% favorite over Eric Shelton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1652), separated by just 0 points.

Alden Coria enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Eric Shelton enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Alden Coria finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Eric Shelton 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.