Combat Edge Intelligence

Alden Coria vs Igor da Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record8-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'6"
67"Reach69,5"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
4oz. Fight ClubTeamChute Boxe Joao Emilio

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alden CoriaNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Igor da SilvaNow 1646
If they win+24→ 1670
If they lose-24→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.69
Sig. strikes / min
7.17
45%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.33
70%
Strike defense
48%
1.75
Takedown avg.
9.69
33%
Takedown accuracy
71%
71%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alden CoriaIgor da Silva
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
4 (33%)
Submission
4 (50%)
3 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alden Coria and Igor da Silva within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1646), separated by just 6 points.

Alden Coria enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Alden Coria finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Igor da Silva 100%.

Igor da Silva carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.