Aleksandar Rakić vs Alexander Gustafsson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-6-0Record18-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'4"
78"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gym 23TeamAllstars Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660
If they win+16→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1658
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1763 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aleksandar RakićAlexander Gustafsson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aleksandar Rakić66%
Alexander Gustafsson 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandar Rakić a 66% favorite over Alexander Gustafsson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1676 vs 1674), separated by just 2 points.
Aleksandar Rakić enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alexander Gustafsson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Aleksandar Rakić finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Alexander Gustafsson 78%.
Aleksandar Rakić and Alexander Gustafsson share 3 common opponents: Jan Błachowicz, Anthony Smith and Jimi Manuwa.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.