Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandar Rakić vs Ovince St. Preux

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record27-18-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
78"Reach80″
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gym 23TeamKnoxville MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksandar RakićNow 1676
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660
Ovince St. PreuxNow 1678
If they win+12→ 1690
If they lose-12→ 1666

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.13
Sig. strikes / min
3.03
50%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
51%
Strike defense
48%
0.64
Takedown avg.
1.09
22%
Takedown accuracy
36%
86%
Takedown defense
67%
0.13
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Aleksandar RakićOvince St. Preux
1700202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
12 (44%)
1 (7%)
Submission
8 (30%)
4 (29%)
Decision
7 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksandar Rakić70%
Ovince St. Preux 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandar Rakić a 70% favorite over Ovince St. Preux in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ovince St. Preux's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1676 vs 1678), separated by just 2 points.

Aleksandar Rakić enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Aleksandar Rakić finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Ovince St. Preux 74%.

Ovince St. Preux carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.