Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandar Rakić vs Paul Jones

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record11-1-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height5'9"
78"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight198 lbs
Gym 23TeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksandar RakićNow 1676
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660
Paul JonesNow 1679
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.13
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
0.64
Takedown avg.
TBD
22%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
86%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.13
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Aleksandar RakićPaul Jones
160016501700199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
1 (7%)
Submission
6 (67%)
4 (29%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Aleksandar Rakić and Paul Jones within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1676 vs 1679), separated by just 3 points.

Aleksandar Rakić enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Aleksandar Rakić finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Paul Jones 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.