Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandar Rakić vs Chael Sonnen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record31-17-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'1"
78"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gym 23TeamTeam Quest

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksandar RakićNow 1676
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660
Chael SonnenNow 1672
If they win+12→ 1684
If they lose-12→ 1660

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1763 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.13
Sig. strikes / min
3.10
50%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.12
51%
Strike defense
63%
0.64
Takedown avg.
3.78
22%
Takedown accuracy
59%
86%
Takedown defense
67%
0.13
Submission avg.
0.41

Trajectory

Aleksandar RakićChael Sonnen
1650170020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
8 (26%)
1 (7%)
Submission
4 (13%)
4 (29%)
Decision
19 (61%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksandar Rakić70%
Chael Sonnen 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandar Rakić a 70% favorite over Chael Sonnen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1676 vs 1672), separated by just 4 points.

Aleksandar Rakić enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Chael Sonnen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aleksandar Rakić finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Chael Sonnen 39%.

Aleksandar Rakić carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.