Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandar Rakić vs Laurynas Urbonavicius

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record15-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'1"
78"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gym 23TeamVale Tudo MMA Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksandar RakićNow 1676
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660
Laurynas UrbonaviciusNow 1677
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.13
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
0.64
Takedown avg.
TBD
22%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
86%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.13
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Aleksandar RakićLaurynas Urbonavicius
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
9 (60%)
1 (7%)
Submission
2 (13%)
4 (29%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksandar Rakić67%
Laurynas Urbonavicius 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandar Rakić a 67% favorite over Laurynas Urbonavicius in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Laurynas Urbonavicius's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1676 vs 1677), separated by just 1 points.

Aleksandar Rakić enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Aleksandar Rakić finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Laurynas Urbonavicius 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.