Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandar Rakić vs Rodolfo Bellato

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record13-3-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
78"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gym 23TeamKnockout Squad

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksandar RakićNow 1676
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660
Rodolfo BellatoNow 1678
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.13
Sig. strikes / min
5.37
50%
Strike accuracy
60%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.86
51%
Strike defense
47%
0.64
Takedown avg.
1.38
22%
Takedown accuracy
35%
86%
Takedown defense
94%
0.13
Submission avg.
0.23

Trajectory

Aleksandar RakićRodolfo Bellato
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
1 (7%)
Submission
4 (31%)
4 (29%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Rodolfo Bellato60%
Aleksandar Rakić 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rodolfo Bellato a 60% favorite over Aleksandar Rakić in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1676 vs 1678), separated by just 2 points.

Aleksandar Rakić enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Aleksandar Rakić finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Rodolfo Bellato 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.