Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksander Emelianenko vs Phil De Fries

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

28-9-1Record25-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
TBDReachTBD
256 lbsWeight264 lbs
AE TeamTeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksander EmelianenkoNow 1704
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692
Phil De FriesNow 1707
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.30
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
TBD
Strike defense
38%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.29
TBD
Takedown accuracy
43%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Aleksander EmelianenkoPhil De Fries
1650170020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

20 (71%)
KO/TKO
6 (24%)
5 (18%)
Submission
14 (56%)
3 (11%)
Decision
5 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Phil De Fries70%
Aleksander Emelianenko 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Phil De Fries a 70% favorite over Aleksander Emelianenko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1707), separated by just 3 points.

Aleksander Emelianenko enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Phil De Fries enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Aleksander Emelianenko finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Phil De Fries 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.