Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandr Grozin vs Daniel Zellhuber

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-7-2Record15-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height6'1"
-Reach77"
147 lbsWeight155 lbs
Raty TeamTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksandr GrozinNow 1683
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
Daniel ZellhuberNow 1681
If they win+16→ 1697
If they lose-16→ 1665

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.83
TBD
Strike accuracy
39%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.91
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.15
TBD
Takedown accuracy
25%
TBD
Takedown defense
95%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.15

Trajectory

Aleksandr GrozinDaniel Zellhuber
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (24%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
3 (12%)
Submission
3 (20%)
16 (64%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Aleksandr Grozin and Daniel Zellhuber within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1681), separated by just 2 points.

Daniel Zellhuber enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Aleksandr Grozin finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Zellhuber 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.