Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandr Grozin vs Paul Sass

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paul Sass

Paul Sass

“Sassangle”

14-2-0LightweightBFC

1682Good

Tale of the tape

25-7-2Record14-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
147 lbsWeight155 lbs
Raty TeamTeamTeam Kaobon

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksandr GrozinNow 1683
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
Paul SassNow 1682
If they win+16→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1666

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.53
TBD
Strike accuracy
26%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.90
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.53
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
TBD
Takedown defense
33%
TBD
Submission avg.
7.38

Trajectory

Aleksandr GrozinPaul Sass
1700201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (24%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (12%)
Submission
13 (93%)
16 (64%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksandr Grozin63%
Paul Sass 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandr Grozin a 63% favorite over Paul Sass in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1682), separated by just 1 points.

Aleksandr Grozin finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Paul Sass 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.