Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandr Grozin vs Yamato Nishikawa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

25-7-2Record21-5-6
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
147 lbsWeight155 lbs
Raty TeamTeamNishikawa Dojo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksandr GrozinNow 1683
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
Yamato NishikawaNow 1681
If they win+12→ 1693
If they lose-12→ 1669

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Aleksandr GrozinYamato Nishikawa
16501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (24%)
KO/TKO
14 (67%)
3 (12%)
Submission
4 (19%)
16 (64%)
Decision
3 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksandr Grozin60%
Yamato Nishikawa 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandr Grozin a 60% favorite over Yamato Nishikawa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1681), separated by just 2 points.

Yamato Nishikawa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aleksandr Grozin finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Yamato Nishikawa 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.