Aleksandra Savicheva vs Maria Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record13-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'5"
66"Reach69"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Raty TeamTeamParana Vale Tudo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1609
If they lose-24→ 1561
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1498 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aleksandra SavichevaMaria Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aleksandra Savicheva60%
Maria Oliveira 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandra Savicheva a 60% favorite over Maria Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Maria Oliveira's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1588), separated by just 3 points.
Maria Oliveira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Aleksandra Savicheva finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Maria Oliveira 62%.
Maria Oliveira carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.