Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandra Savicheva vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record18-13-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'3"
66"ReachTBD
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Raty TeamTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksandra SavichevaNow 1585
If they win+24→ 1609
If they lose-24→ 1561
Michelle Waterson-GomezNow 1582
If they win+12→ 1594
If they lose-12→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1498 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.42
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.25
TBD
Strike defense
49%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.39
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
70%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.63

Trajectory

Aleksandra SavichevaMichelle Waterson-Gomez
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
3 (17%)
1 (14%)
Submission
9 (50%)
4 (57%)
Decision
6 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksandra Savicheva71%
Michelle Waterson-Gomez 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandra Savicheva a 71% favorite over Michelle Waterson-Gomez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1582), separated by just 3 points.

Michelle Waterson-Gomez enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Aleksandra Savicheva finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Michelle Waterson-Gomez 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.