Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandre Topuria vs Charlie Valencia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record12-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'3"
68"ReachTBD
139 lbsWeight135 lbs
Climent ClubTeamMillennia MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksandre TopuriaNow 1613
If they win+24→ 1637
If they lose-24→ 1589
Charlie ValenciaNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.73
Sig. strikes / min
2.58
52%
Strike accuracy
38%
2.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.61
70%
Strike defense
78%
1
Takedown avg.
1.40
50%
Takedown accuracy
53%
100%
Takedown defense
75%
0
Submission avg.
0.52

Trajectory

Aleksandre TopuriaCharlie Valencia
15501600165020092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
2 (29%)
Submission
4 (33%)
2 (29%)
Decision
6 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksandre Topuria66%
Charlie Valencia 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandre Topuria a 66% favorite over Charlie Valencia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1613), separated by just 0 points.

Aleksandre Topuria enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Charlie Valencia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aleksandre Topuria finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Charlie Valencia 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.