Aleksandre Topuria vs Geraldo de Freitas Jr.
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-1-0Record14-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68"Reach39,0"
139 lbsWeight135 lbs
Climent ClubTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1637
If they lose-24→ 1589
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1544 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aleksandre TopuriaGeraldo de Freitas Jr.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aleksandre Topuria62%
Geraldo de Freitas Jr. 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandre Topuria a 62% favorite over Geraldo de Freitas Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1613), separated by just 0 points.
Aleksandre Topuria enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Geraldo de Freitas Jr. enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Aleksandre Topuria finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Geraldo de Freitas Jr. 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.