Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksei Oleinik vs Tyrell Fortune

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

61-18-1Record18-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
80"Reach77"
254 lbsWeight256 lbs
Oleynik TeamTeamArizona Combat Sports

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksei OleinikNow 1723
If they win+12→ 1735
If they lose-12→ 1711
Tyrell FortuneNow 1729
If they win+16→ 1745
If they lose-16→ 1713

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
2
49%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.13
44%
Strike defense
57%
1.82
Takedown avg.
3
47%
Takedown accuracy
60%
38%
Takedown defense
100%
1.95
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aleksei OleinikTyrell Fortune
1700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (13%)
KO/TKO
11 (65%)
48 (79%)
Submission
1 (6%)
5 (8%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Tyrell Fortune73%
Aleksei Oleinik 27%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Tyrell Fortune a 73% favorite over Aleksei Oleinik in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1723 vs 1729), separated by just 6 points.

Tyrell Fortune enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Aleksei Oleinik finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Tyrell Fortune 71%.

Aleksei Oleinik carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.