Alex Chambers vs Gloria de Paula
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-5-0Record6-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'5"
63,0"Reach67"
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFabiana Belai Academia
What's at stake
Alex Chambers is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Gloria de Paula carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1525
If they lose-17→ 1493
If they win+17→ 1511
If they lose-15→ 1479
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex ChambersGloria de Paula
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gloria de Paula55%
Alex Chambers 45%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Gloria de Paula a 55% favorite over Alex Chambers in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Chambers's way (48%).
Alex Chambers holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1510 to 1494, a 16-point edge.
Alex Chambers enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Gloria de Paula enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alex Chambers finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Gloria de Paula 50%.
Gloria de Paula carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.