Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Chambers vs Haidy Ahmed

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-5-0Record3-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'3"
63,0"Reach-
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTiger Team

What's at stake

Alex Chambers is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Haidy Ahmed carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex ChambersNow 1510
If they win+15→ 1525
If they lose-17→ 1493
Haidy AhmedNow 1493
If they win+25→ 1518
If they lose-23→ 1470

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.97
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
54%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
2.31
Takedown avg.
TBD
41%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
53%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.99
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alex ChambersHaidy Ahmed
1500201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
2 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (20%)
Decision
2 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Haidy Ahmed62%
Alex Chambers 38%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Haidy Ahmed a 62% favorite over Alex Chambers in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Chambers's way (48%).

Alex Chambers holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1510 to 1493, a 17-point edge.

Alex Chambers enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alex Chambers finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Haidy Ahmed 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.