Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex da Silva vs David Baron

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-5-0Record17-4-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'6"
73"ReachTBD
159 lbsWeight169 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamHaute Tension

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex da SilvaNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
David BaronNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.14
Sig. strikes / min
0.53
46%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.23
57%
Strike defense
56%
1.97
Takedown avg.
0
44%
Takedown accuracy
0%
77%
Takedown defense
14%
0.28
Submission avg.
1.13

Trajectory

Alex da SilvaDavid Baron
1650170020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

14 (58%)
KO/TKO
4 (24%)
8 (33%)
Submission
11 (65%)
2 (8%)
Decision
2 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex da Silva64%
David Baron 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex da Silva a 64% favorite over David Baron in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1662), separated by just 1 points.

Alex da Silva finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, David Baron 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.