Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex da Silva vs David Michaud

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-5-0Record18-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
73"ReachTBD
159 lbsWeight170 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex da SilvaNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
David MichaudNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.14
Sig. strikes / min
3.25
46%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.45
57%
Strike defense
54%
1.97
Takedown avg.
2.53
44%
Takedown accuracy
58%
77%
Takedown defense
77%
0.28
Submission avg.
0.72

Trajectory

Alex da SilvaDavid Michaud
16001650170020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

14 (58%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
8 (33%)
Submission
5 (28%)
2 (8%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex da Silva57%
David Michaud 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex da Silva a 57% favorite over David Michaud in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1662), separated by just 1 points.

Alex da Silva finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, David Michaud 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.