Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex da Silva vs Joe Solecki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-5-0Record13-6-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
73"Reach70"
159 lbsWeight155 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamGym-O

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex da SilvaNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Joe SoleckiNow 1667
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.14
Sig. strikes / min
1.98
46%
Strike accuracy
57%
2.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.77
57%
Strike defense
48%
1.97
Takedown avg.
2.23
44%
Takedown accuracy
47%
77%
Takedown defense
20%
0.28
Submission avg.
1.43

Trajectory

Alex da SilvaJoe Solecki
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

14 (58%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
8 (33%)
Submission
9 (69%)
2 (8%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex da Silva60%
Joe Solecki 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex da Silva a 60% favorite over Joe Solecki in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Solecki's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1667), separated by just 4 points.

Joe Solecki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alex da Silva finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Joe Solecki 69%.

Alex da Silva carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.