Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex da Silva vs Ottman Azaitar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-5-0Record13-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
73"Reach71"
159 lbsWeight156 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamJupps Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex da SilvaNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Ottman AzaitarNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.14
Sig. strikes / min
5.73
46%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.96
57%
Strike defense
48%
1.97
Takedown avg.
0
44%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
77%
Takedown defense
100%
0.28
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alex da SilvaOttman Azaitar
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

14 (58%)
KO/TKO
10 (77%)
8 (33%)
Submission
2 (15%)
2 (8%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex da Silva63%
Ottman Azaitar 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex da Silva a 63% favorite over Ottman Azaitar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ottman Azaitar's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1664), separated by just 1 points.

Ottman Azaitar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alex da Silva finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Ottman Azaitar 92%.

Alex da Silva carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.